Daily Forex Fundamental Analysis – Aug 2, 2017

The dollar recovered slightly against its peers when a bit of risk aversion returned to the markets and US data came in mostly in line with estimates. The core PCE price index posted another 0.1% as expected while personal spending ticked up by 0.1% as well, even while personal income was flat. The ISM manufacturing PMI slipped from 57.8 to 56.3, slightly lower than the 56.4 estimate. The ADP report is due next and a 187K gain in hiring is eyed.
The euro was off to a good start as European stocks rallied on the region’s flash GDP report. However, the shared currency retreated when the German bond auction resulted to lower yields. The German unemployment change report showed a larger 9K drop in joblessness while the region’s GDP showed a 0.6% expansion. The Spanish unemployment change report is due next.
The pound was able to hold its ground thanks to upbeat manufacturing PMI. The reading recovered from 54.2 to 55.1, outpacing the consensus at 54.4. The construction PMI is due next and a dip from 54.8 to 54.3 is eyed but another stronger than expected read could mean more pound gains ahead of the BOE decision later this week.
The franc was still in a weak spot but managed to recoup its losses when risk aversion returned. There were no major reports out of the Swiss economy then while today has retail sales, manufacturing PMI, and the SECO consumer climate index. Retail sales are expected to recover by 1.3% while the manufacturing PMI could fall from 60.1 to 58.9. The SECO index is projected to climb from -8 to -3.
The yen had a mixed performance as it reacted mostly to currency-specific events rather than establishing its own direction. The BOJ core CPI held steady at 0.3% instead of dipping to the projected 0.2% figure and the consumer confidence index is due today. Analysts are expecting to seen an improvement from 43.3 to 43.5.
Commodity Currencies (AUD, NZD, CAD)
The comdolls returned some of their gains as crude oil and dairy prices dipped. The API reported a surprise build in stockpiles while the GDT auction showed a 1.6% drop in dairy prices. New Zealand also reported a surprise 0.2% drop in hiring for Q2 but the unemployment rate improved from 4.9% to 4.8%. The RBA kept rates unchanged at 1.50% as expected while issuing a relatively neutral statement.
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With an upbringing rooted in deep ethical values, Yashu Gola knows how to put honesty and dedication into his articles. This young and dynamic financial analyst has done his graduation in IT engineering. His interests in financial writing have once brought him to our digital doorsteps. Since then, he has been an integral part of ForexMinute.com and writes the most captivating news-articles on the foreign exchange industry, cryptocurrencies, and medical marijuana trading.