Gold and Silver at Lowest Levels Since 2010

1
123
Gold and Silver at Lowest Levels Since 2010

After the FOMC announced the end of QE, gold and silver slid further into lows not seen since 2010.

Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Chart 10/31
gold weekly chart 10/31
(click to enlarge)

Looking at the weekly chart, we can see a bearish market. Price is under the 200-, 100-, and 50-week simple moving averages (SMAs), and the RSI has held under 60 for the most part after tagging 20, which shows maintenance of bearish momentum.

Price did stall for more than a year after holding above 1180 in mid-2013. It consolidated in some what of a descending triangle. Finally this week, after the FOMC helped the USD regain its stride, (XAU/USD) fell below this consolidation, signaling bearish continuation.

When we look at the weekly chart, we can see a support pivot at 1084.90. I would say this level up to the 1100 level should be seen as a support area, especially if the weekly RSI returns below 30, which shows oversold condition. From here, we might expect some short to medium-term consolidation with upside risk back towards the 1200 handle.

At this point, a break above 1300 would be needed to introduce any discussion of a bullish market in gold.

Silver has a similar technical set up in the weekly chart as gold. Price is below the 200-, 100-, and 50-week SMAs and the weekly RSI has held under 60, while being able to break below 30.

Silver (XAG/USD) Weekly Chart 10/31
silver weekly chart 10/31

(click to enlarge)

The thing is, silver has already been making new lows on the year after breaking a descending triangle pattern that started mid-2013. The weekly RSI is also already in the oversold area.

As price digs lower, buyers might be found at 14.63, a support pivot and low of 2010. With the RSI also showing oversold condition, we can see an attempt from this 14.63 area back up towards the 18-18.20 area. Otherwise, below 14.50, the next support might be around 12.50.

Previous Post by Author: AUD/USD and NZD/USD in Bearish Continuation Mode

SHARE
Previous articleAUD/USD and NZD/USD In Bearish Continuation Mode
Next articleGold, Silver Tumble to 4-Year Low, Dollar Rockets
Fan Yang has been a professional forex trader and analyst since 2007. He specializes in technical analysis and has a Chartered Market Technician designation since 2011. He was the chief technical strategist at CMSFX He was also the founder and chief currency strategist at FXTimes Over the years, Fan has not only been a trader and analyst but also an educator. As a proponent of both technical and fundamental analysis in trading, Fan advocates simplicity and discipline as key factors in making trading decisions when faced with so many "clues" and "signals". Currently Fan Yang is the chief currency analyst and webinar instructor at forexminute.com.
  • BILL BUI

    I hope to see your articles. what will happen with gold next week ?