Daily FX Trading Update: FOMC Minutes Due Next – Apr 6, 2016

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Daily FX Trading Update: FOMC Minutes Due Next - Apr 6, 2016
USD
The US dollar had another mixed performance, as data from the economy came in mixed. The ISM non-manufacturing PMI beat expectations with a rise from 53.4 to 54.5, outpacing the consensus at 54.1. However, the trade balance showed a much wider deficit. Exports and imports both gained, indicating a pickup in external and domestic demand. The FOMC minutes are up for release today.
EUR
The euro continued to consolidate against the dollar since there were no top-tier reports from the euro zone. Retail sales rose 0.2% as expected. Only the German industrial production report is due today and a 1.8% decline is eyed.
GBP
The pound managed to hold on to some of its gains when the UK services PMI came in mostly in line with expectations. The figure rose from 52.7 to 53.7, just a couple of notches away from the 53.9 consensus but still indicative of stronger growth in the sector. There are no major reports lined up from the UK economy today.
CHF
The franc was unable to find a clear direction in recent trading since there were no major reports out of Switzerland. Its economic schedule is still empty for today, suggesting further consolidation or sensitivity to any changes in market sentiment.
JPY
The yen took advantage of the run in risk aversion during the earlier trading sessions, as average cash earnings in Japan showed a stronger than expected 0.9% increase. Only the leading indicators data is due today and a decline is eyed.
Commodity Currencies
The comdolls managed to stage a rebound late in the day, buoyed by a decline in API inventories and a rise in dairy prices. The American Petroleum Institute reported a reduction of 4.3 million barrels in stockpiles while the New Zealand GDT auction showed a 2.1% rebound in dairy prices. The RBA kept rates unchanged as expected but gave a mixed statement with an upbeat assessment and a warning on AUD strength. Canada’s trade balance showed large declines in both imports and exports. Its Ivey PMI is due today ahead of US crude oil inventories data.

To contact the reporter of the story: Samuel Rae at samuel@forexminute.com

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Samuel Rae is an active retail trader across a variety of assets, including currencies, stocks and commodities and the author of Diary of a Currency Trader (Harriman House). His personal strategy focuses primarily on classical technical charting patterns with a fundamentally supportive bias, combined with a strict, risk management-driven approach to entries and exits. He is an Economics graduate from Manchester University, UK.