Today’s US NFP Report was a bit crummy. Although the headline reading was slightly above forecast and the unemployment rate fell, labor participation also dropped to its lowest rate in 33 years, and average hourly earnings fell in December. This gave way to some correction against recent USD strength, and the AUD/USD rallied.
The 4H AUD/USD chart shows that a double bottom was formed after today’s NFP report. Now, we want to see confirmation. If price gets to 0.8215-0.8235, we should expect some resistance. If there is one, we should monitor the 0.8125 area. A bullish market should hold above this level. However, a break below 0.81 makes it unclear, and a break below 0.8087 is likely to signal bearish continuation, or at least a sideways instead of a bullish consolidation. This would put pressure on the 0.8035 low, with risk of breaking towards the 0.80 handle. On the other hand, a break above 0.8250 would signal a more bullish type of correction within a medium-term consolidation mode.
Previous Post by Author: US NFP Report; USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD Reactions